Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.228776 15.113824 17.134774 19.458190 22.051011 24.850841 28.098264
2024-10-20 9.919794 12.336525 15.116865 18.535459 22.607835 27.285091 33.043799
2024-10-27 7.541842 10.162910 13.383977 17.596300 22.917937 29.372468 37.742824
2024-11-03 6.417583 9.300781 13.060010 18.250702 25.151056 33.918821 45.796491
2024-11-10 5.849888 9.052719 13.455115 19.831197 28.689472 40.400990 56.861934
2024-11-17 5.165320 8.519598 13.370637 20.722374 31.366844 45.966720 67.191443
2024-11-24 4.368543 7.681956 12.722519 20.709065 32.744815 49.844407 75.511320
2024-12-01 3.602200 6.755602 11.800514 20.151080 33.233544 52.458634 82.206928
2024-12-08 3.073857 6.124555 11.239546 20.053331 34.357309 56.025691 90.476119
2024-12-15 2.705646 5.704313 10.954988 20.341140 36.067763 60.548377 100.419388
2024-12-22 2.326039 5.195073 10.444085 20.178367 37.011449 63.923404 108.795454
2024-12-29 2.169132 5.085221 10.619050 21.197285 39.967969 70.634479 122.743150
2025-01-05 1.901375 4.716827 10.290599 21.321505 41.477326 75.219957 133.783067
2025-01-12 1.582883 4.180271 9.566406 20.634572 41.504306 77.361033 141.002733
2025-01-19 1.302884 3.670275 8.817537 19.804112 41.180846 78.865452 147.241478
2025-01-26 1.210991 3.583397 8.929279 20.668057 44.045647 86.043964 163.483752
2025-02-02 1.204639 3.706802 9.506461 22.527756 48.932830 97.069019 186.934037
2025-02-09 1.135798 3.656793 9.692691 23.592141 52.361781 105.680652 206.617329
2025-02-16 1.004994 3.414352 9.407562 23.623180 53.754966 110.669926 220.149861
2025-02-23 0.854992 3.083496 8.864808 23.027233 53.827545 113.205139 229.389148
2025-03-02 0.752650 2.867141 8.566031 22.937253 54.916174 117.691504 242.387539
2025-03-09 0.683523 2.736081 8.460724 23.274056 56.910718 123.997838 259.025083
2025-03-16 0.600282 2.539032 8.154237 23.099844 57.790706 128.177531 271.865739